June 5, 2025

recession

Investors

Investors Have Forgotten About This Perfect Recession Indicator

Remember the inverted yield curve? Buzz around the recession indicator, which has preceded every economic downturn since the 1960s, has died out over the last few years. As the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates in 2022, long-end Treasury rates dipped below yields on the short end, sparking fears about the economy’s health. But a recession

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Mortgage

Mortgage Rates Will Remain High Unless There’s a Recession

Bad news for those looking to buy a home: it’s looking like high mortgage rates are here to stay in the months ahead. Mortgage rates have hovered in the 6 to 7% range this year, with the 30-year rate at 6.76% as of last week, according to Freddie Mac. And they’ll stay in that range

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Investment

Small Caps Are a Risky, but Worthy, Bet Under Trump

Even when large-cap stocks lose, they still find a way to win. It’s been a rocky year for the S&P 500, but the mega-cap-heavy index has still easily beaten its peers with a relatively modest 5.2% loss. For comparison, the mid-cap-dense S&P 400 and small-cap-oriented S&P 600 have sold off by 6.9% and 10%, respectively,

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Investors

US Markets Decline After Trump Refuses To Rule Out Recession Fears: Here’s What Advisers Want Investors To Do

US President Donald Trump‘s tariff plans and refusal to rule out an economic downturn prolonged the ongoing volatility in US stock markets. ‘Look, we’re going to have disruption, but we’re OK with that,’ he said earlier this week on the Fox News show’ Sunday Morning Futures.’ These developments took a toll on investor confidence, reflected

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Decline