Mortgage spreads Mortgage spreads — the difference between the 10-year Treasury yield and the 30-year mortgage rate — are a complex topic. Over the past decade, they haven’t received much attention because spreads were typical and not a concern. Under normal circumstances, the spread typically ranges from 1.60% to 1.80%. A historical review of these
“I think the last few years have paid off for us. First off, we grew 60% last year,” Arvielo said. “So I think the consolidation of loan originators is part of it. I think the move-up buyer is driving the market, meaning a former first-time home buyer [who] now has a significant amount of equity.”
We’re working from a record low bar Over the past two years, my theme has been: the bar for purchase apps is so low that we can trip over it. Also, millions of people buy homes each year —regardless of what is happening in the economy. Despite facing significant challenges in the 2008 housing crisis,
On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 4% compared with the previous week. The refinance index decreased 4% from the previous week and was 42% higher than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity remained unchanged at 37.3% of total applications from the previous week. “Refinance activity dipped again, as
10-year yield and mortgage rates In my 2025 forecast, I anticipated the following ranges: Mortgage rates will be between 5.75% and 7.25% The 10-year yield will fluctuate between 3.80% and 4.70% Last week, we observed a positive trend, as the 10-year yield gradually declined from a high of 4.43% to 4.24%. This drop has also
Since we believe in the close relationship between the 10-year yield and mortgage rates, we expect mortgage rates to decrease tomorrow if bond yields continue to decline. Here’s what the bond yields looked like on Wednesday afternoon: My bottom range forecast for the 10-year yield in 2025 is 3.80%. At 4.11%, it marks the lowest
4 positive readings 3 negative readings 3 flat prints Overall, we’ve seen positive growth year over year with most of the weekly data in 2025. It’s not spectacular and it working from the lowest bar ever, but growth is growth. The purchase application data looks out for about 30 to 90 days, but I wouldn’t
The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 6% from last week. The refinance index decreased 13% from the previous week, but was 70% higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted