July 21, 2025

economic downturn

Home economic downturn
Banking

A roadmap to restoring banking sector stability

  • June 30, 2025

I have been writing about the danger of non-performing loans (NPLs) and the related threat to the stability of the banking sector since 2012. Some 13 years later, the problem has escalated astronomically with little signs of reversal. The problem was somewhat muted between FY2012 and FY2020, but has gotten out of hand since then.

Read More
Investors

Investors Have Forgotten About This Perfect Recession Indicator

  • May 17, 2025

Remember the inverted yield curve? Buzz around the recession indicator, which has preceded every economic downturn since the 1960s, has died out over the last few years. As the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates in 2022, long-end Treasury rates dipped below yields on the short end, sparking fears about the economy’s health. But a recession

Read More
We use cookies on our website to give you the most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits. By clicking “Accept All”, you consent to the use of ALL the cookies. However, you may visit "Cookie Settings" to provide a controlled consent. View more
Accept
Decline