Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Investors in TELUS International (Cda) Inc. (NYSE:TIXT) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 42%. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 19%. TELUS International (Cda) may have better days ahead, of course; we’ve only looked at a one year period. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 35% in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results – you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.
It’s worthwhile assessing if the company’s economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let’s do just that.
See our latest analysis for TELUS International (Cda)
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Even though the TELUS International (Cda) share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
It’s surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.
TELUS International (Cda)’s revenue is actually up 20% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don’t readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
TELUS International (Cda) is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
TELUS International (Cda) shareholders are down 42% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 19%. That’s disappointing, but it’s worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn’t have helped. With the stock down 35% over the last three months, the market doesn’t seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we’d remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. If you would like to research TELUS International (Cda) in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.
Find out whether TELUS International (Cda) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
