March 15, 2025
Investment

Opinion | Chinese investment won’t cure the cancer plaguing Malaysia’s economy


No country has achieved high income without manufacturing. Resource-rich countries can rely on exporting commodities, such as oil and gas, but if they lack manufacturing, they risk falling behind once the resources run out or demand dries up in the transition to clean energy.

Malaysia’s industrial policy emphasises hi-tech, knowledge-based industries, fostering innovation through initiatives like the Economic Transformation Programme and Industry 4.0 transformation. Yet it has failed to move up the value chain and break out of the middle-income trap. Where did things go wrong?

In the 1960s and 1970s, Malaysia employed import substitution to promote manufacturing. From the 1980s, it switched to an export-driven growth model, pursuing foreign direct investment, namely the import of capital and technology from foreign firms, notably in electronics. While this enjoyed some success, the investments did not always lead to stronger manufacturing and supply chains.

09:13

Malaysia’s transport minister eyes partnerships with China to drive infrastructure goals

Malaysia’s transport minister eyes partnerships with China to drive infrastructure goals

Malaysian manufacturing remains in low value-added services, such as the packaging and testing of semiconductors. Its car industry still relies on foreign technology partners such as Mitsubishi and Daihatsu.

Malaysia’s industrialisation push took place as China was opening up, offering cheaper land, labour and a vast domestic market. China, too, relied on foreign direct investment to build its manufacturing. As they learned by doing, Chinese manufacturers – supported by a well-educated workforce, an enormous pool of engineers and efficient logistics – became increasingly competitive.

Malaysia, however, continues to be held back by an affirmative action programme privileging majority Malays over minority Chinese and Indians.

The New Economic Policy, launched in 1971, aimed to restructure Malaysian society to reduce the identification of race with economic function. One main objective was to end the disparities between Malays (bumiputra), Chinese and Indians by redistributing wealth and resources, including educational opportunities – bumiputras receive scholarships and quotas for university enrolment.
The policy was to end after 20 years but was replaced by the National Development Policy, which kept bumiputra privileges largely intact; Malays had come to regard them as an entitlement.
Many of the largest state-owned enterprises or government-linked corporations created to drive economic growth came to be led by political appointees lacking management and industry experience, resulting in cronyism, poor governance and spectacular failures. After years of losses, national carmaker Proton sold a 49.9 per cent stake to China’s Geely in 2017, which turned it around.
Then Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad presents the Proton X70 key to his wife Siti Hasmah Mohamad Ali during the official ceremony launching Proton’s first SUV X70 in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in December 2018. It was the first joint commercial product by Proton and China’s Geely. Photo: Xinhua
Systemic corruption is so entrenched, it is nigh on impossible to root out without dismantling race-based privileges. Over the last five years, the government has lost an estimated US$59 billion to corruption, which Anwar calls the “main cancer” weakening the economy, eroding morals and diminishing confidence.
The recent release of the auditor-general’s report revealed leakages, mismanagement and abuses across the civil service and government-linked companies prompted former trade and industry minister Rafidah Aziz to lament the “mind-boggling” loss of integrity. No sector of society has been spared “the toxicity of the abuses of power”, she said.

“The latest audit report has unearthed such diversions from good governance involving billions of ringgits, and it is all public funds. Such leakages, diversions, and pilferings must be seriously tackled,” she said. “There are those among whom we entrust with looking after key areas of national interests who have betrayed that trust. They have been found to be negligent, remiss, incompetent and downright corrupt, with blatant abuses of authority.”

11:20

The legacy of Malaysia’s 1MDB scandal on politics and corruption-fighting

The legacy of Malaysia’s 1MDB scandal on politics and corruption-fighting

Critically, the quality of education has suffered. Anwar pointed out that Malaysian students performed the “worst of all” among seven members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in the latest Programme for International Student Assessment (Pisa) results, and warned against “a state of denial”. Malaysia ranked 51st out of the 81 economies Pisa tested.
Even Malay parents appear to be losing faith in state schools, with more sending their children to Chinese vernacular schools or international schools. And interest in STEM subjects (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) is low. The country faces a dire shortage of skilled manpower, needed to attract high-end investments.

Malaysia seeks to capture a share of the supply chain assumed to be leaving China because of the trade war. But that hope may be in vain. Even as China has moved up the value chain, it remains competitive in low-value sectors. It enjoys many advantages in size, productivity, infrastructure quality and industrial ecosystems.

It is extremely difficult to compete against Chinese factories on speed, cost or quality, and it makes no sense for them to outsource or relocate to a country lacking skilled manpower. Chinese entrepreneurs go where they can make a reasonable profit. Malaysia’s nation-building woes stem from weak governance – outsiders are not in a position to remedy this.

Dr Michael Tai is research associate at the Institute of China Studies at the University of Malaya and a fellow of the Royal Asiatic Society



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